Wireless communications : the future / William Webb.

By:

Webb, William, 1967-

Material type: Text

TextPublication details: Chichester, England ; Hoboken, NJ : John Wiley, c2007.Description: xx, 253 p. : ill. ; 25 cmISBN:

0470033126 (hbk.)
9780470033128 (hbk.)

Subject(s):

DDC classification:

621.3841 WEB

Holdings
Item type	Current library	Call number	Copy number	Status	Date due	Barcode
Standard Loan	Moylish Library Main Collection	621.3841 WEB (Browse shelf(Opens below))	1	Available		39002000372558

Enhanced descriptions from Syndetics:

The definitive assessment of how wireless communications will evolve over the next 20 years.

Predicting the future is an essential element for almost everyone involved in the wireless industry. Manufacturers predict the future when they decide on product lines to develop or research to undertake, operators when they buy licences and deploy networks, and academics when they set PhD topics. Wireless Communications: The Future provides a solid, clear and well-argued basis on which to make these predictions.

Starting with a description of the current situation and a look at how previous predictions made in 2000 have fared, the book then provides the contributions of six eminent experts from across the wireless industry. Based on their input and a critical analysis of the current situation, it derives detailed forecasts for 2011 through to 2026. This leads to implications across all of the different stakeholders in the wireless industry and views on key developments.

Presents clear and unambiguous predictions, not a range of scenarios from which the user has to decide Includes chapters covering existing wireless systems which provide solid tutorial material across a wide range of wireless devices Offers a range of views of the future from high profile contributors in various areas of the industry and from around the globe, including contributions from Vodafone and Motorola Provides a comprehensive guide to current technologies, offering keen analysis of key drivers, end user needs and key economic and regulatory constraints

This book, compiled by a renowned author with a track record of successful prediction, is an essential read for strategists working for wireless manufacturers, wireless operators and device manufacturers, regulators and professionals in the telecoms industry, as well as those studying the topic or with a general interest in the future of wireless communications.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Table of contents provided by Syndetics

Preface (p. xv)
Acknowledgements (p. xvii)
About the Author (p. xix)
1 Predicting the Future is a Necessary Part of Business (p. 1)
2 Previous Predictions have been Accurate (p. 3)
2.1 Introduction (p. 3)
2.2 There have been Huge Changes in the Telecoms Climate (p. 3)
2.3 What we Predicted for the Period 2000-2005 (p. 6)
2.4 How Well did we do? (p. 7)
2.5 Our Predictions for 2005-2010 (p. 8)
2.6 How Good do these Predictions Look Now? (p. 9)
2.7 Implications for Forecasting the Future (p. 9)
3 How to put Together a Forecast (p. 11)
4 The Current Position (p. 13)
4.1 The Value of a Good Understanding of the Starting Position (p. 13)
4.2 Mobile Communications (p. 14)
4.2.1 Cellular (p. 14)
Introduction to Cellular [1-3] (p. 14)
2G Cellular (p. 15)
3G Cellular (p. 17)
WiMax for Mobile Applications (p. 18)
'4G' Cellular (p. 19)
Convergent Technologies (p. 21)
Summary for Cellular (p. 22)
4.2.2 Private Mobile Radio (p. 22)
Introduction (p. 22)
Analogue Communications (p. 23)
Digital Communications (p. 23)
4.2.3 Mobile Mesh Systems (p. 24)
4.2.4 Cognitive Radio (p. 25)
4.3 Fixed wireless (p. 27)
4.3.1 Introduction (p. 27)
4.3.2 Key Drivers for Fixed Wireless (p. 27)
4.3.3 Key Competitors to Fixed Wireless (p. 28)
4.3.4 Likely Success of Fixed Wireless (p. 28)
4.3.5 Enlarging the Market with a Nomadic Offering (p. 29)
4.3.6 The Prognosis for Fixed Wireless (p. 29)
4.4 Short-range Devices (p. 30)
4.4.1 Introduction (p. 30)
4.4.2 Overview of the Standards for Short-range Devices (p. 31)
4.4.3 Ultra Wideband (UWB) (p. 32)
4.4.4 Wireless LANs [5] (p. 33)
4.4.5 BlueTooth [6] (p. 34)
4.4.6 DECT (p. 35)
4.4.7 Zigbee (p. 35)
4.4.8 RFIDs (p. 36)
4.4.9 The Prognosis for Short-range Devices (p. 36)
4.5 Core Networks (p. 37)
4.6 Broadcasting (p. 39)
4.6.1 Conventional Broadcasting (p. 39)
4.6.2 Mobile Broadcasting (p. 41)
4.7 Industry Structure (p. 42)
4.8 Summary (p. 42)
4.9 Appendix: The Role for OFDM (p. 43)
OFDM is Increasingly in Favour (p. 43)
A Quick Introduction to OFDM (p. 43)
Multipath: the Key Difference between OFDM and SCM (p. 44)
Equalisers may become too Complex to be Realisable (p. 45)
Problems Specific to OFDM (p. 45)
Specific Applications (p. 45)
So is OFDM the New 'Technology of Choice'? (p. 48)
References (p. 48)
5 End User Demand (p. 49)
5.1 Why What the User Wants is Critical (p. 49)
5.2 How People React to New Concepts (p. 49)
5.3 Changing Patterns of Spending (p. 51)
5.4 What they have Today (p. 53)
5.5 What they want Now (p. 53)
5.6 Security, Privacy and Health Concerns (p. 55)
5.7 The Handset Subsidy Problem (p. 56)
5.8 In Summary (p. 57)
6 Technology Progress (p. 59)
6.1 Technology is a Critical Input to any Forecast (p. 59)
6.2 Key Technical Fundamentals: The 'True' Laws (p. 60)
6.3 Key Technical Observations: The 'Empirical' Laws (p. 62)
6.3.1 Moore's Law (p. 62)
6.3.2 Metcalfe's Law (p. 63)
6.3.3 Gilder's Law (p. 64)
6.3.4 Cooper's Law (p. 65)
6.3.5 Edholm's Law (p. 67)
6.3.6 Growth in Disk Size (p. 68)
6.3.7 Goodhart's Law (p. 70)
6.3.8 Laws or Trends? (p. 70)
6.4 Technologies on the 'Radar Screen' (p. 70)
6.4.1 Technologies Enhancing the Efficiency of Transmission (p. 71)
Software-defined Radio (p. 71)
Smart Antennas (p. 71)
Wireless Mesh Networking (p. 72)
Interference Cancellation (p. 73)
Cognitive Radio (p. 74)
6.4.2 Technologies Lowering Cost: Backhaul (p. 74)
6.4.3 Technologies Enhancing Interaction with Terminals (p. 76)
6.4.4 Technologies Leading to 'Artificial Intelligence' (p. 84)
6.4.5 Compression Technologies (p. 85)
6.5 Technology Prognosis: No Key Breakthroughs (p. 85)
6.6 Implications for the Future (p. 85)
References (p. 86)
7 Major World Events (p. 87)
7.1 Introduction (p. 87)
7.2 World Events (p. 87)
7.3 Events in Related Industries (p. 89)
7.4 Summary (p. 90)
7.5 The Next Chapters (p. 90)
8 Future Military Wireless Solutions (p. 91)
8.1 Introduction (p. 91)
8.2 Operational Context (p. 92)
8.3 Technical Features Important to Secure and Robust Global Military Communications (p. 93)
8.4 New Platforms and Missions: Their Impact on Military Communication Systems (p. 94)
8.4.1 Impact of Unmanned Vehicles (p. 94)
8.4.2 Impact of High-Altitude Platforms (HAPs) (p. 95)
8.4.3 Impact of Future Infantry Soldier Technology (p. 96)
8.4.4 Impact of Wireless Sensor Networks (p. 96)
8.5 Developments in Military Communications Systems (p. 97)
8.5.1 Introduction (p. 97)
8.5.2 Very Low-Frequency (VLF) Communications (p. 97)
8.5.3 High-Frequency (HF) Communications (p. 98)
8.5.4 Terrestrial VHF, UHF and SHF Tactical Communications (p. 99)
8.5.5 Satellite Communications (p. 100)
8.6 Emerging Communications Techniques (p. 103)
8.6.1 Introduction (p. 103)
8.6.2 Ad-hoc Networks (p. 103)
8.6.3 Disruption-Tolerant Networks (DTN) (p. 103)
8.6.4 Software-Defined Radio (SDR) (p. 104)
8.6.5 Environmental Modelling for Communications Management (p. 106)
8.6.6 Spectrum Management and Utilisation (p. 107)
8.6.7 Smart Antennas for Military Communications (p. 109)
8.6.8 The Push to Higher RF Frequencies and Laser Communications (p. 109)
8.6.9 Ultra Wideband (UWB) Techniques (p. 110)
8.6.10 Communications Security (p. 110)
8.7 Some Emerging Technologies with Communications Relevance (p. 111)
8.7.1 Introduction (p. 111)
8.7.2 Beyond Silicon Technologies (p. 111)
8.7.3 Potential of Nanotechnology (p. 111)
8.7.4 Quantum Cryptography and Quantum Computing (p. 112)
8.7.5 Negative Refractive Materials and Their Applications (p. 113)
8.7.6 Low-power High-stability Reference Sources (p. 113)
8.7.7 Power Sources (p. 113)
8.8 The Role for Commercial Off-the-shelf for Military Communications (p. 114)
8.9 Summary and Conclusions (p. 114)
Acknowledgements (p. 115)
References (p. 115)
Biographies (p. 115)
9 From the Few to the Many: Macro to Micro (p. 117)
9.1 In the Beginning (p. 117)
9.2 The Need for Planning, Regulation and Control (p. 118)
9.3 Some General Trends (p. 120)
9.4 What do People Want and Need? (p. 122)
9.5 What can People Expect/Have? (p. 123)
9.6 Likely Technology Developments (p. 124)
9.6.1 Home and Office (p. 124)
9.6.2 Manufacturing, Retail and Logistics (p. 126)
9.6.3 Logistics of Things and People (p. 126)
9.6.4 Parasitic Networks (p. 127)
9.6.5 Mobile Sensor Networks (p. 128)
9.7 Clusters of People and Things (p. 128)
9.8 Finally (p. 129)
Biography (p. 131)
10 The Role of Ad-hoc Technology in the Broadband Wireless Networks of the Future (p. 133)
10.1 Introduction (p. 133)
10.2 The Need for Flexible Wireless Broadband Solutions (p. 134)
10.3 Current and Emerging Models of Peer-to-Peer Broadband Connectivity (p. 136)
10.3.1 Wireless Home Networks (p. 136)
10.3.2 Military Applications (p. 137)
10.3.3 Public Safety (p. 137)
10.3.4 Private and Public Transportation (p. 138)
10.3.5 Metro-area Broadband Networks (p. 139)
10.3.6 Mining and Manufacturing (p. 139)
10.3.7 Corporate Networks (p. 139)
10.3.8 Sensor Networks and Things-to-Things Communication (p. 140)
10.4 Enabling the Next Generation of Ad-hoc Connectivity (p. 140)
10.5 Types of Ad-hoc Network (p. 142)
10.5.1 Autonomous Peer-to-Peer Networks (p. 142)
10.5.2 Hybrid Mesh Networks (p. 143)
10.6 Integrated Ad-hoc and Wide Area Networks (p. 144)
10.6.1 Linking of Ad-hoc Workgroups (p. 144)
10.6.2 Extension of carrier broadband networks (p. 144)
10.6.3 Enhanced Network Performance (p. 144)
10.7 Enabling Technologies (p. 145)
10.7.1 Self-configuration and Self-organisation (p. 145)
10.7.2 Multi-hopping and Dynamic Routing of Data Packets (p. 145)
10.7.3 Smart Sensors and Devices (p. 146)
10.7.4 Location-awareness (p. 146)
10.7.5 Low-power and Energy-scavenging Technologies (p. 146)
10.7.6 End User Control over Preferences and Privacy (p. 147)
10.8 New Business and Usage Models (p. 147)
10.9 Benefits of Ad-hoc Technology Wireless Carriers and Internet Providers (p. 150)
10.9.1 Incumbent Wireless Carriers (p. 150)
10.9.2 Cable Broadband Operators (p. 150)
10.9.3 'Mom and Pop' Wisps (p. 151)
10.9.4 Greenfield Operators (p. 151)
10.9.5 Marketers (p. 151)
10.10 A Decentralised Future and Boundless Opportunities (p. 152)
Reference (p. 152)
Biographies (p. 153)
11 Interference and Our Wireless Future (p. 155)
11.1 Introduction (p. 155)
11.2 History (p. 156)
11.3 Spectrum Scarcity (p. 157)
11.4 Regulatory Directions Toward Scarcity Amelioration (p. 157)
11.5 Scarcity Amelioration Approaches (p. 162)
11.6 Emerging Wireless Communications Devices and Systems (p. 162)
References (p. 165)
Biography (p. 166)
12 Three Ages of Future Wireless Communications (p. 167)
12.1 Introduction (p. 167)
12.2 The Age of Wireless Proliferation: 2007 to 2011 (p. 169)
12.2.1 Introduction (p. 169)
12.2.2 Services and Applications (p. 170)
12.2.3 Devices (p. 172)
12.2.4 Infrastructure (p. 173)
12.2.5 Air Interfaces (p. 173)
12.2.6 Spectrum (p. 174)
12.3 The Age of Wireless Similarity: 2012 to 2016 (p. 175)
12.3.1 Introduction (p. 175)
12.3.2 Services and Applications (p. 175)
12.3.3 Devices (p. 176)
12.3.4 Infrastructure (p. 176)
12.3.5 Air Interfaces (p. 177)
12.3.6 Spectrum (p. 178)
12.4 The Age of Wireless Mundanity: 2017 to 2026 (p. 179)
12.4.1 Introduction (p. 179)
12.4.2 Services and Applications (p. 179)
12.4.3 Devices (p. 180)
12.4.4 Infrastructure (p. 180)
12.4.5 Air Interfaces (p. 181)
12.4.6 Spectrum (p. 181)
12.5 Conclusions and Summary (p. 182)
Reference (p. 183)
Biography (p. 184)
13 Mobile Cellular Radio Technology Disruption (p. 185)
13.1 Extrapolating from the Past 25 Years of Public Mobile Radio (p. 185)
13.2 The Law of Large Network Momentum (p. 187)
13.3 Third-generation W-CDMA Future (p. 188)
13.4 Fourth-generation Technology (p. 190)
13.5 Where does this Leave the Switch-off of GSM? (p. 192)
13.6 The 3G Cellular Radio Network Landscape Ten Years from now (p. 194)
13.7 Convergence as a Disruptive Force (p. 195)
13.7.1 Convergence: Mobile and Broadcasting (p. 195)
13.7.2 Convergence: Internet and Telephone Services (p. 197)
13.7.3 Convergence and the 'Battle for the Home' (p. 198)
Broadband Heavy-user Homes (p. 200)
Broadband Light-user Homes (p. 202)
Homes with no DSL Connection (p. 203)
13.7.4 Convergence and the Evolution of Mobile Handsets (p. 203)
13.7.5 Summary Impact of Convergence as a Disruptive Force (p. 204)
13.8 The Blindside Forces of Disruption (p. 205)
13.8.1 Governments (p. 205)
13.8.2 Regulatory Loose Cannons (p. 206)
13.8.3 Disruptive Competitors (p. 207)
13.8.4 Disruptive Suppliers (p. 207)
13.8.5 Gyrating Financial Markets (p. 208)
13.8.6 Unpredictable Customers (p. 208)
13.8.7 Disruptive Technologies (p. 209)
13.8.8 The Global Perspective (p. 209)
13.8.9 Summary Vision of the 'Blindside' Forces (p. 210)
13.9 Conclusions (p. 210)
Biography (p. 211)
14 Assimilating the Key Factors (p. 213)
14.1 Introduction (p. 213)
14.2 Summary of the Current Position (p. 213)
14.3 Summary of End User Demand (p. 214)
14.4 Summary from Technology Advances Section (p. 214)
14.5 Summary from the Contributors (p. 215)
Paul Cannon (p. 215)
Peter Cochrane (p. 216)
Gary Grube and Hamid Ahmadi (p. 216)
Dennis Roberson (p. 216)
Simon Saunders (p. 217)
Stephen Temple (p. 217)
14.6 Key Factors brought out by the Contributors (p. 218)
14.6.1 Areas not Included in Previous Discussion (p. 218)
Connectivity (p. 218)
Backhaul (p. 219)
Applications (p. 219)
Technology (p. 219)
Regulation (p. 219)
14.6.2 Areas of Disagreement (p. 219)
14.7 Reaching a Verdict on the Areas of Disagreement (p. 220)
14.8 Drawing these Key Factors Together (p. 221)
15 The Future Roadmap (p. 223)
15.1 Introduction (p. 223)
15.2 Predictions for 2011 (p. 223)
15.3 Predictions for 2016 (p. 227)
15.4 Predictions for 2021 (p. 232)
15.5 Predictions for 2026 (p. 233)
15.6 Key New Applications (p. 235)
15.7 Key New Technologies (p. 236)
15.8 Key Changes in Networks (p. 237)
15.9 Major Growth Areas (p. 238)
15.10 Areas we Predict Will not be Successful (p. 238)
15.11 Implications for Stakeholders (p. 239)
Manufacturers (p. 239)
Operators (p. 239)
Service Providers (p. 240)
Regulators (p. 240)
Academics and Researchers (p. 240)
15.12 Differences from the Prediction Made in 2000 (p. 241)
15.13 The Future in a Page (p. 243)
15.14 ...And the Elevator Pitch (p. 244)
List of Acronyms (p. 245)
Index (p. 249)

Author notes provided by Syndetics

William Webb is Head of R&D and Senior Technologist, Ofcom, UK. William is a Fellow of the Royal Academy of Engineering, and has worked in the wireless communications industry since his graduation in 1989. William has published over 60 papers in various journals, chairs some six conferences a year, including the 3GSM Congress and the BlueTooth Congress, and speaks at many more.